Saturday, 18 August 2018

Gold broken down from long term bullish structure since 2010/2011

Gold has broken down from long term bullish structure since 2010/2011.

It looks bad. It looks awful, in fact. The 2016 bull market run could be over according to this - or very nearly.

Targets $1085 or $920 to downside on longer term lower chart.

$1085 is very near $1087 (50% retracement of entire bull market price run from $253 in 1999 to $1923 in 2011).

$920 is the level that comes from a channel doubling of the blue pitchfork, which makes geometric sense and would of course be a new bear market low.

Possibility of a rally to re-test (to back-test) the $1235 breakdown at the bottom of the fork but maybe it has been back-tested already on a smaller scale (upper chart). The gross oversold condition right now might indicate a technical rally. It would be interesting to see if any such rally could make it to $1235+.

The $1235 area was mentioned on an interesting YouTube video here from Alessio Rastani of leadingtrader.com (from Elliott Wave analysis)
Crash in Gold... What Happens Now?







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