Interestingly, David Gurwitz of Charles Nenner Cycles Research
said on Kerry Lutz’ podcast a few weeks ago that the same woulld happen. He was
looking for gold to bottom in mid to late April before going, perhaps to some
target above 2200. Armstrong’s target was apparently 2500 or so.
Both those opinions underline an imminent bull market in
gold after this long correction has bottomed.
However, on Jim Puplava’s show (20 April 2013, 1st
segment), Technician Ralph Acampora who sees a continuing bull market in stocks
said, without further comment, that gold was now in a bear market and was
heading for significantly lower prices from here.
Jeff Christian of CPM Group, often accused, unjustifiably
in my opinion as being a gold bear, was looking for a gold low of $1430 and
said on Kerry Lutz’ podcast recently that he was somewhat surprised that the
price fell to $1350 – his opinion is that $1350 was very likely to be the
bottom of this correction. However, he sees a trading range for another couple
of years, followed by a slow grind higher to a new high above $1920, perhaps
not until around the year 2020. He cites increased gold production because of
the exploration cycle that kicked off during the last 10 years and says that
there probably won’t be much of a downturn in production due to these present
lower prices. He thus sees the climb in gold as being gradual and due to continual high retail
demand from China, India and the Middle East, as well as continued strong (but
probably not increasing from here) central bank buying from China, Russia and other
countries (creditor nations).
